live://btc-5m-board/Jul 16, 8:32 AM
FIVETAPE / MARKET TERMINAL
Live deployment on Polymarket BTC 5m markets.
Current decision
Passing on Down setup
Insufficient Remote Collateral.
Current setup
Down 13.57 edge
adaptive-hybrid
Decision clock
Obs Jul 16, 8:31 AM
Checked Jul 16, 8:31 AM // Passing
Bot state
Watching
Insufficient Remote Collateral.
Current gate
Passing on Down setup
insufficient_remote_collateral
Last fill
Up -$4.36
Apr 14, 10:45 PM // Live mark // flat 92d 9h // 26,613 windows
Queue / exposure
Queue 0
insufficient_remote_collateral
Marked account value
$530.59
Live available $0.00 | Active exposure $0.00 | Claimable $530.59 | Last sync 30m ago
Bot trade PnL
+$250.83
Bot +$250.83 | Realized +$250.83 | Unrealized n/a | Last sync 30m ago
Win rate
45.80%
131 wins | 155 losses | Last sync 30m ago
Closed trades
286
21,525 skipped windows
Open exposure
0
Mark $0.00 | Fee $2.28
Recent windows
Recent BTC 5m windows
12 visible
196 total
| When (CT) | Market | Link | Side | Stake | Pnl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 10:40 PM | BTC 5m // 1776224400 | View on Polymarket | Up | $214.55 | -$4.36 |
| Apr 14, 10:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776223200 | View on Polymarket | Down | $1.56 | -$0.14 |
| Apr 14, 10:00 PM | BTC 5m // 1776222000 | View on Polymarket | Up | $3.56 | -$0.33 |
| Apr 14, 9:40 PM | BTC 5m // 1776220800 | View on Polymarket | Down | $2.88 | -$0.27 |
| Apr 14, 9:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776219600 | View on Polymarket | Up | $30.06 | -$2.82 |
| Apr 14, 8:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776216000 | View on Polymarket | Up | $4.38 | -$0.40 |
| Apr 14, 8:00 PM | BTC 5m // 1776214800 | View on Polymarket | Down | $6.12 | -$0.57 |
| Apr 14, 7:20 PM | BTC 5m // 1776212400 | View on Polymarket | Down | $3.73 | -$0.35 |
| Apr 13, 8:10 PM | BTC 5m // 1776129000 | View on Polymarket | Up | $86.79 | -$95.47 |
| Apr 13, 5:20 AM | BTC 5m // 1776075600 | View on Polymarket | Up | $1.96 | -$0.18 |
| Apr 11, 5:45 AM | BTC 5m // 1775904300 | View on Polymarket | Down | $28.33 | -$2.66 |
| Apr 11, 4:25 AM | BTC 5m // 1775899500 | View on Polymarket | Down | $90.24 | -$8.61 |
PnL chart
Live session curve
197 / 197 points
+$250.83 session net
BTC/USD
Jul 16, 8:30 AM -> Jul 16, 8:35 AM
BTC 5m // 1784208600
Contract
adaptive-hybrid // insufficient_remote_collateral
Down @ 0.3750
Tape
insufficient_remote_collateral
U 0.6350 / D 0.3750
Spread
Bid 0.3900 // Ask 0.4000
0.0100
Signal
adaptive-hybrid
13.57 edge
Session
7,171/21,575 windows resolved
Running
+$250.83
Live mark // Jul 16, 8:32 AM
Move +$1,632.50
Active dossier
BTC 5m // 1784208600
Down
Auto
Pinned
Auto follow
Jul 16, 8:30 AM -> Jul 16, 8:35 AM
Route
adaptive-hybrid // Passing
insufficient_remote_collateral
Position
Running
insufficient_remote_collateral
Context
bid 0.3900 // ask 0.4000
up 0.6350 // down 0.3750 // spread 0.0100
Watching BTC 5m // 1784208600. The dossier will pin open position, signal, and book context here between fills.
Matched feed
Context rail
3 lines
collectorJul 16, 7:57 AM
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14401.
collectorJul 16, 8:12 AM
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14402.
collectorJul 16, 8:27 AM
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14404.
Feed log
Live feed
16 items
Marked value
$530.59
Trades
286
Runtime
Running
Exposure
0
Live sync23,226 lines
Latest event Jul 16, 8:27 AM // collector
Jul 16, 5:13 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7170, pending windows: 14387.
Jul 16, 5:28 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14388.
Jul 16, 5:42 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14389.
Jul 16, 5:57 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14391.
Jul 16, 6:12 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14392.
Jul 16, 6:14 AMrunner
Mode Hold -> Hold // Action Hold Flat -> Hold Flat // entry_price_too_low
Jul 16, 6:27 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14394.
Jul 16, 6:42 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14395.
Jul 16, 6:57 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14397.
Jul 16, 7:12 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14398.
Jul 16, 7:27 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14399.
Jul 16, 7:42 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14400.
Jul 16, 7:44 AMrunner
Mode Hold -> Hold // Action Hold Flat -> Hold Flat // insufficient_remote_collateral
Jul 16, 7:57 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14401.
Jul 16, 8:12 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14402.
Jul 16, 8:27 AMcollector
Manual refresh (runtime_minimal) complete. Resolved windows: 7171, pending windows: 14404.
Btc Updown 5m 1784208600 // Down 13.57 edge // insufficient_remote_collateral
Last sync Jul 16, 8:32 AM
Account PnL
+$250.83
55W // 141L // Running
Avg ticket
$32.12
106.4 shares avg size
Focus source
adaptive-hybrid
insufficient_remote_collateral
Coverage
7,171/21,575
23,226 feed lines synced
Fill log
Latest fills and settlements
Hover rows to sync the curve
Account
196 trades visible
23,226 feed events synced
Focus net
+$250.83
session aggregate
Avg fee
$2.28
55 wins // 141 losses
Last event
Jul 16, 8:27 AM
collector // system
| When (CT) | Side | Result | Market | Link | Entry | Shares | Stake | Fee | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 10:40 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776224400 | View on Polymarket | 0.4892 | 438.5 | $214.55 | $21.46 | -$4.36 |
| Apr 14, 10:20 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776223200 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 155.6 | $1.56 | $0.16 | -$0.14 |
| Apr 14, 10:00 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776222000 | View on Polymarket | 0.0200 | 177.9 | $3.56 | $0.36 | -$0.33 |
| Apr 14, 9:40 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776220800 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 288.0 | $2.88 | $0.29 | -$0.27 |
| Apr 14, 9:20 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776219600 | View on Polymarket | 0.1700 | 176.8 | $30.06 | $3.01 | -$2.82 |
| Apr 14, 8:20 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776216000 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 437.7 | $4.38 | $0.44 | -$0.40 |
| Apr 14, 8:00 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776214800 | View on Polymarket | 0.0400 | 153.0 | $6.12 | $0.61 | -$0.57 |
| Apr 14, 7:20 PM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776212400 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 372.9 | $3.73 | $0.37 | -$0.35 |
| Apr 13, 8:10 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776129000 | View on Polymarket | 0.4600 | 188.7 | $86.79 | $8.68 | -$95.47 |
| Apr 13, 5:20 AM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1776075600 | View on Polymarket | 0.0100 | 196.1 | $1.96 | $0.20 | -$0.18 |
| Apr 11, 5:45 AM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775904300 | View on Polymarket | 0.1700 | 166.7 | $28.33 | $2.83 | -$2.66 |
| Apr 11, 4:25 AM | Down | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775899500 | View on Polymarket | 0.3700 | 243.9 | $90.24 | $9.02 | -$8.61 |
| Apr 10, 10:20 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775877600 | View on Polymarket | 0.4300 | 420.7 | $180.89 | $18.09 | -$18.81 |
| Apr 8, 9:35 PM | Up | n/a | BTC 5m // 1775702100 | View on Polymarket | 0.2000 | 363.6 | $72.73 | $7.27 | -$80.00 |
| Apr 6, 6:25 AM | Down | Down | BTC 5m // 1775474700 | View on Polymarket | 0.5600 | 339.0 | $189.83 | $18.98 | +$130.17 |
| Apr 6, 4:45 AM | Down | Down | BTC 5m // 1775468700 | View on Polymarket | 0.3600 | 377.4 | $135.85 | $13.59 | +$227.92 |
| Apr 5, 8:20 PM | Down | Up | BTC 5m // 1775438400 | View on Polymarket | 0.5000 | 400.0 | $200.00 | $0.98 | -$191.17 |
| Apr 5, 10:00 AM | Down | Down | BTC 5m // 1775401200 | View on Polymarket | 0.5100 | 241.3 | $123.04 | $12.30 | +$105.92 |
Runtime report
Entry fill rate
6.33%
26/411 staged entries matched in the current runtime sample.
Avg time to fill
18s
From order staging to first matched book fill.
Avg hold
2m 3s
55 wins | 141 losses in current account history.
Risk stop
Inactive
17.01% drawdown | $1,478.50 equity.
2 fills
Fallback route
-$0.22
1W 1L | matched runtime entries
24 fills
Feature Score route
-$302.89
6W 18L | matched runtime entries
No-trade reasons
Paper Drawdown Stop20,995
Insufficient Trade Activity516
Spread Too Wide6
Regime Mismatch2
Entry Price Too High2
Runtime notes
Board notes, session sync, and runtime account context.
Running
Btc Updown 5m 1784208600 // Down 13.57 edge // insufficient_remote_collateral
Board sync: 7,171/21,575
Last update: Jul 16, 8:32 AM
Soak report
Losses logged
1,869
-$186,221.64 across 1,869 closed trades.
Expired entries
362
706 blocked queue event(s) | 18,986 no-order cycle(s).
Runner failures
100
Latest failure: Runner Lock Not Active:Stale.
Drawdown state
Trading
17.01% drawdown | $1,478.50 equity.
Loss review
Outcome loss cluster
Up
-$94,248.38
945 loss trades | avg entry 0.45 | avg score 7.21
Outcome loss cluster
Down
-$91,973.26
924 loss trades | avg entry 0.45 | avg score 8.13
Entry band loss cluster
Entry < 0.45
-$94,552.35
945 loss trades | avg entry 0.30 | avg score 9.19
Entry band loss cluster
Entry 0.45-0.59
-$54,018.52
516 loss trades | avg entry 0.52 | avg score 6.17
Learning queue
Primary loss cluster
offline
Up is the largest losing bucket in the current runtime sample. Review that setup before changing broader strategy behavior.
Missed fills matter
offline
362 staged entries expired. That is execution-quality evidence and should be measured separately from signal losses.
These notes are generated from recorded losses, skipped windows, and runner stability. They are meant to drive offline model updates, not live self-editing behavior.